Advanced Transportation Equipment

Lifetime and Aging Degradation Prognostics for Lithium-ion Battery Packs Based on a Cell to Pack Method

  • Yunhong Che ,
  • Zhongwei Deng ,
  • Xiaolin Tang ,
  • Xianke Lin ,
  • Xianghong Nie ,
  • Xiaosong Hu
Expand
  • 1. College of Mechanical and Vehicle Engineering, Chongqing University, Chongqing, 400044, China;
    2. State Key Laboratory of Mechanical Transmissions, Chongqing University, Chongqing, 400044, China;
    3. Department of Automotive, Mechanical and Manufacturing Engineering, Ontario Tech University, Oshawa, ON, L1G 0C5, Canada;
    4. Powertrain Engineering R & D Institute, Chongqing Changan Automotive Co. Ltd, Chongqing, 401133, China

Received date: 2021-07-19

  Revised date: 2021-10-13

  Online published: 2022-06-30

Supported by

Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 51875054, U1864212), Graduate Research and Innovation Foundation of Chongqing, China (Grant No. CYS20018), Chongqing Municipal Natural Science Foundation for Distinguished Young Scholars of China (Grant No. cstc2019jcyjjqX0016), Chongqing Science and Technology Bureau of China

Abstract

Aging diagnosis of batteries is essential to ensure that the energy storage systems operate within a safe region. This paper proposes a novel cell to pack health and lifetime prognostics method based on the combination of transferred deep learning and Gaussian process regression. General health indicators are extracted from the partial discharge process. The sequential degradation model of the health indicator is developed based on a deep learning framework and is migrated for the battery pack degradation prediction. The future degraded capacities of both battery pack and each battery cell are probabilistically predicted to provide a comprehensive lifetime prognostic. Besides, only a few separate battery cells in the source domain and early data of battery packs in the target domain are needed for model construction. Experimental results show that the lifetime prediction errors are less than 25 cycles for the battery pack, even with only 50 cycles for model fine-tuning, which can save about 90% time for the aging experiment. Thus, it largely reduces the time and labor for battery pack investigation. The predicted capacity trends of the battery cells connected in the battery pack accurately reflect the actual degradation of each battery cell, which can reveal the weakest cell for maintenance in advance.

Cite this article

Yunhong Che , Zhongwei Deng , Xiaolin Tang , Xianke Lin , Xianghong Nie , Xiaosong Hu . Lifetime and Aging Degradation Prognostics for Lithium-ion Battery Packs Based on a Cell to Pack Method[J]. Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering, 2022 , 35(1) : 4 -4 . DOI: 10.1186/s10033-021-00668-y

References

[1] X Hu, L Xu, X Lin, et al. Battery lifetime prognostics. Joule, 2020, 4(2):310-346.
[2] M R Palacin, A de Guibert. Why do batteries fail? Science, 2016, 351(6273):1253292.
[3] C Weng, X Feng, J Sun, et al. State-of-health monitoring of lithium-ion battery modules and packs via incremental capacity peak tracking. Applied Energy, 2016, 180:360-368.
[4] H Meng, Y-F Li. A review on prognostics and health management (PHM) methods of lithium-ion batteries. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2019, 116.
[5] Y Li, et al. Data-driven health estimation and lifetime prediction of lithium-ion batteries:A review. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2019, 113.
[6] S Zhao, et al. Towards high-energy-density lithium-ion batteries:Strategies for developing high-capacity lithium-rich cathode materials. Energy Storage Materials, 2021, 34:716-734.
[7] L Hu, X Hu, Y Che, et al. Reliable state of charge estimation of battery packs using fuzzy adaptive federated filtering. Applied Energy, 2020, 262.
[8] X Hu, Y Che, X Lin, et al. Health prognosis for electric vehicle battery packs:A data-driven approach. IEEE/ASME Transactions on Mechatronics, 2020, 25(6):2622-2632.
[9] P M Attia, et al. Closed-loop optimization of fast-charging protocols for batteries with machine learning. Nature, 2020, 578(7795):397-402.
[10] A El Mejdoubi, H Chaoui, H Gualous, et al. Lithium-ion batteries health prognosis considering aging conditions. IEEE Transactions on Power Electronics, 2019, 34(7):6834-6844.
[11] H Zhang, Q Miao, X Zhang, et al. An improved unscented particle filter approach for lithium-ion battery remaining useful life prediction. Microelectronics Reliability, 2018, 81:288-298.
[12] S Wang, C Fernandez, C Yu, et al. A novel charged state prediction method of the lithium ion battery packs based on the composite equivalent modeling and improved splice Kalman filtering algorithm. Journal of Power Sources, 2020, 471.
[13] B Jiang, H Dai, X Wei, et al. Joint estimation of lithium-ion battery state of charge and capacity within an adaptive variable multi-timescale framework considering current measurement offset. Applied Energy, 2019, 253.
[14] X Lin, X Hao, Z Liu, et al. Health conscious fast charging of Li-ion batteries via a single particle model with aging mechanisms. Journal of Power Sources, 2018, 400:305-316.
[15] J M Reniers, G Mulder, D A Howey. Review and performance comparison of mechanical-chemical degradation models for lithium-ion batteries. Journal of The Electrochemical Society, 2019, 166(14):A3189-A3200.
[16] J Li, K Adewuyi, N Lotfi, et al. A single particle model with chemical/mechanical degradation physics for lithium ion battery State of Health (SOH) estimation. Applied Energy, 2018, 212:1178-1190.
[17] N Gang, N P Branko. Cycle life modeling of lithium-ion batteries. The Electrochemical Society, 2004, 151:A1584.
[18] R Fu, M Xiao, S-Y Choe. Modeling, validation and analysis of mechanical stress generation and dimension changes of a pouch type high power Li-ion battery. Journal of Power Sources, 2013, 224:211-224.
[19] P Barai, K Smith, C-F Chen, et al. Reduced order modeling of mechanical degradation induced performance decay in lithium-ion battery porous electrodes. Journal of The Electrochemical Society, 2015, 162(9):A1751-A1771.
[20] A Jana, G M Shaver, R E García. Physical, on the fly, capacity degradation prediction of LiNiMnCoO2-graphite cells. Journal of Power Sources, 2019, 422:185-195.
[21] L Song, K Zhang, T Liang, et al. Intelligent state of health estimation for lithium-ion battery pack based on big data analysis. Journal of Energy Storage, 2020, 32.
[22] K A Severson, et al. Data-driven prediction of battery cycle life before capacity degradation. Nature Energy, 2019, 4(5):383-391.
[23] K Liu, Y Li, X Hu, et al. Gaussian process regression with automatic relevance determination kernel for calendar aging prediction of lithium-ion batteries. IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics, 2020, 16(6):3767-3777.
[24] D Liu, J Zhou, D Pan, et al. Lithium-ion battery remaining useful life estimation with an optimized Relevance Vector Machine algorithm with incremental learning. Measurement, 2015, 63:143-151.
[25] X Li, Z Wang, J Yan. Prognostic health condition for lithium battery using the partial incremental capacity and Gaussian process regression. Journal of Power Sources, 2019, 421:56-67.
[26] S Khaleghi, et al. Online health diagnosis of lithium-ion batteries based on nonlinear autoregressive neural network. Applied Energy, 2021, 282.
[27] X Li, C Yuan, Z Wang. Multi-time-scale framework for prognostic health condition of lithium battery using modified Gaussian process regression and nonlinear regression. Journal of Power Sources, 2020, 467.
[28] X Hu, Y Che, X Lin, et al. Battery health prediction using fusion-based feature selection and machine learning. IEEE Transactions on Transportation Electrification, 2021, 7(2):382-398.
[29] X Li, Z Wang, L Zhang, et al. State-of-health estimation for Li-ion batteries by combing the incremental capacity analysis method with grey relational analysis. Journal of Power Sources, 2019, 410-411:106-114.
[30] B Jiang, H Dai, X Wei. Incremental capacity analysis based adaptive capacity estimation for lithium-ion battery considering charging condition. Applied Energy, 2020, 269.
[31] Y Che, et al. State of health prognostics for series battery packs:A universal deep learning method. Energy, 2022, 238.
[32] Z Deng, X Hu, X Lin, et al. General discharge voltage information enabled health evaluation for lithium-ion batteries. IEEE/ASME Transactions on Mechatronics, 2021, 26(3):1295-1306.
[33] C-P Lin, J Cabrera, F Yang, et al. Battery state of health modeling and remaining useful life prediction through time series model. Applied Energy, 2020, 275.
[34] Y Che, Z Deng, X Lin, et al. Predictive battery health management with transfer learning and online model correction. IEEE Transactions on Vehicular Technology, 2021, 70(2):1269-1277.
[35] J Ma, et al. A hybrid transfer learning scheme for remaining useful life prediction and cycle life test optimization of different formulation Li-ion power batteries. Applied Energy, 2021, 282.
[36] Z Lyu, R Gao, L Chen. Li-ion battery state of health estimation and remaining useful life prediction through a model-data-fusion method. IEEE Transactions on Power Electronics, 2020:1-1.
[37] B Gou, Y Xu, X Feng. State-of-health estimation and remaining-useful-life prediction for lithium-ion battery using a hybrid data-driven method. IEEE Transactions on Vehicular Technology, 2020, 69(10):10854-10867.
[38] Y Che, A Foley, M El-Gindy, et al. Joint estimation of inconsistency and state of health for series battery packs. Automotive Innovation, 2021, 4(1):103-116.
[39] C Weng, J Sun, H Peng. A unified open-circuit-voltage model of lithium-ion batteries for state-of-charge estimation and state-of-health monitoring. Journal of Power Sources, 2014, 258:228-237.
[40] L Li, C Wang, S Yan, et al. A combination state of charge estimation method for ternary polymer lithium battery considering temperature influence. Journal of Power Sources, 2021, 484.
[41] J Hauke, T Kossowski. Comparison of values of pearson's and spearman's correlation coefficients on the same sets of data. Quaestiones Geographicae, 2011, 30(2):87-93.
[42] Z Deng, X Hu, X Lin, et al. Data-driven state of charge estimation for lithium-ion battery packs based on Gaussian process regression. Energy, 2020, 205.
[43] J Q Candela, C E Rasmussen. A unifying view of sparse approximate gaussian process regression, 2005. Available:https://www.jmlr.org/papers/v6/quinonero-candela05a.html.
[44] S J Pan, Q Yang. A survey on transfer learning. IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering, 2010, 22(10):1345-1359.
[45] Y Zhang, R Xiong, H He, et al. Long short-term memory recurrent neural network for remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion batteries. IEEE Transactions on Vehicular Technology, 2018, 67(7):5695-5705.
[46] Z C Lipton, J Berkowitz, C Elkan. A critical review of recurrent neural networks, 2015. Available:https://arxiv.org/abs/1506.00019.
Outlines

/